Wealdstonevs
Yeovil Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wealdstone 0-6 Yeovil Town
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.8% | 26.9% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.1% | 24.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 41.1% | 48.7% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60