Wealdstonevs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wealdstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wealdstone 1-0 Nottingham Forest U21
Original prediction
Wealdstone
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.3% | 39.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 27.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Wealdstone
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Wealdstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60