Wealdstonevs
Kidderminster Harriers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wealdstone · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wealdstone 1-4 Kidderminster Harriers
Original prediction
Wealdstone
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.1% | 37.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.6% | 34.9% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Wealdstone
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Wealdstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20