Wealdstonevs
FC Halifax Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Halifax Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wealdstone 0-1 FC Halifax Town
Original prediction
FC Halifax Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.2% | 35.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.0% | 38.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Halifax Town
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
FC Halifax Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80