GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/10/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

WDSC Wolves · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

WDSC Wolves are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Capalaba are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and WDSC Wolves hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.3% in the Queensland Premier League, while WDSC Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

WDSC Wolves

Probability

92.3%

Model confidence

92.3%

WDSC Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WDSC WolvesDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CapalabaWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
WDSC WolvesCapalaba
69.4Attack31.8
65.3Defence13.6
75.0Form16.7
70.1Power23.7
4.50xG0.55
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