Wda Świecievs
Flota Świnoujście
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wda Świecie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wda Świecie 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
Original prediction
Wda Świecie
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.8% | 38.0% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 25.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.7% | 36.2% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wda Świecie
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Wda Świecie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40