Watford Wvs
Leicester City FC W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leicester City FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Watford W 2-2 Leicester City FC W
Original prediction
Leicester City FC W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 19.2% | 36.1% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.4% | 25.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 57.4% | 38.2% | -19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Leicester City FC W
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Leicester City FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40