Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Watford W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Watford W 4-2 Durham W
Original prediction
Watford W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Watford W
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Watford W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Watford WDDLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Durham WLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Watford WDurham W
40.0Attack33.3
26.7Defence0.0
20.0Form0.0
31.6Power16.8
1.95xG1.32