Watford Wvs
Bristol City W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Watford W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Watford W 1-5 Bristol City W
Original prediction
Watford W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.0% | 38.2% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 27.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.8% | 34.0% | -15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Watford W
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Watford W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60