Waterhousevs
Treasure Beach
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 9/28/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterhouse · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Waterhouse 2-0 Treasure Beach, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Waterhouse 2-0 Treasure Beach
Original prediction
Waterhouse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.3% | 67.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.9% | 20.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.08 | 14.8% | 12.3% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Waterhouse 2–0 Treasure Beach
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Waterhouse
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Waterhouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WaterhouseWLDWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Treasure BeachDLLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WaterhouseTreasure Beach
46.2Attack21.8
66.7Defence34.6
51.6Form16.7
55.5Power27.9
2.11xG0.44