Waterhousevs
Dunbeholden
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterhouse · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waterhouse 2-0 Dunbeholden
Original prediction
Waterhouse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.1% | 71.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.3% | 17.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 7.82 | 11.6% | 11.1% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Waterhouse
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Waterhouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80