GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 2/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waterford · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Waterford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sligo Rovers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Premier Division, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Waterford

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaterfordLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sligo RoversLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
WaterfordSligo Rovers
45.7Attack28.4
40.7Defence44.4
34.6Form27.2
42.0Power35.9
1.66xG0.90
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