GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 2/24/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waterford · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Waterford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Longford Town are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the First Division, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Waterford

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaterfordWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Longford TownLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.25/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
WaterfordLongford Town
76.9Attack43.2
70.1Defence58.0
65.0Form45.7
68.2Power50.4
2.19xG0.67
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