GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/3/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galway United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Waterford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Galway United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Galway United hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 84.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the First Division, while Galway United holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galway United

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaterfordDWLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Galway UnitedWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
WaterfordGalway United
76.9Attack90.7
70.1Defence83.3
65.0Form87.0
68.2Power84.3
1.25xG1.37
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