Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
11.7%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40