Waterfordvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
13.8%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80