Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Wasilków are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Troszyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
76.3%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60