Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Wasilków are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00