GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

14.0%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WWLLDL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Washington Spirit WRacing Louisville W
50.9Attack44.4
70.2Defence35.2
63.2Form31.5
62.9Power39.2
2.28xG0.68
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