GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while OL Reign W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OL Reign WWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Washington Spirit WOL Reign W
50.0Attack42.6
70.0Defence57.4
61.7Form50.0
62.1Power51.8
1.41xG0.68
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