Washington Spirit Wvs
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Washington Spirit W 0-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Washington Spirit W 1-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.4% | 34.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 31.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.3% | 34.2% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Washington Spirit W 0–0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40