GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kansas City W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

13.3%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WWDDDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kansas City WWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Washington Spirit WKansas City W
50.9Attack51.7
70.2Defence53.3
63.2Form50.0
62.9Power51.9
1.57xG0.82
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