GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/22/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Houston Dash W are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Houston Dash WDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Washington Spirit WHouston Dash W
50.9Attack37.0
70.2Defence51.9
63.2Form37.0
62.9Power44.1
1.67xG0.57
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