Washington Spirit Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Washington Spirit W 1-0 Bay FC W, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Washington Spirit W 1-0 Bay FC W
Original prediction
Washington Spirit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.7% | 48.4% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 28.0% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.7% | 23.6% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Washington Spirit W 1–0 Bay FC W
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40