Washington Spirit Wvs
Bay FC
SCHEDULEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Washington Spirit W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bay FC W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
17.6%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60