Washington Spirit Wvs
Angel City W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/26/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Washington Spirit W 0-1 Angel City W
Original prediction
Washington Spirit W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.4% | 42.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.3% | 30.1% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20