Warta Sieradzvs
Wigry Suwałki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warta Sieradz 1-3 Wigry Suwałki
Original prediction
Warta Sieradz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.7% | 38.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 27.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 34.0% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Warta Sieradz
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40