GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/28/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzUnia Skierniewice
42.2Attack76.5
52.9Defence54.9
43.1Form63.7
47.4Power63.6
1.18xG2.10
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