GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Unia SkierniewiceLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Warta SieradzUnia Skierniewice
42.2Attack76.5
52.9Defence54.9
43.1Form63.7
47.4Power63.6
1.18xG2.10
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