GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Troszyn are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzDWWLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TroszynWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzTroszyn
42.2Attack73.5
52.9Defence53.9
43.1Form55.9
47.4Power59.5
1.23xG1.99
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