GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.WW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Warta SieradzPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
42.2Attack45.1
52.9Defence41.2
43.1Form40.2
47.4Power44.2
1.63xG1.17
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