GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
42.2Attack100.0
52.9Defence68.6
43.1Form74.5
47.4Power76.1
0.80xG2.41
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