GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/2/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pilica Białobrzegi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 24.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzPilica Białobrzegi
42.2Attack29.4
52.9Defence12.7
43.1Form18.6
47.4Power24.0
2.49xG0.72
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