Warta Sieradzvs
Pelikan Łowicz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warta Sieradz 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz
Original prediction
Pelikan Łowicz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 35.9% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 26.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.1% | 37.3% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pelikan Łowicz
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40