GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzPelikan Łowicz
42.2Attack51.0
52.9Defence60.8
43.1Form51.0
47.4Power53.7
1.06xG1.36
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