GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/28/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzPelikan Łowicz
42.2Attack51.0
52.9Defence60.8
43.1Form51.0
47.4Power53.7
1.06xG1.36
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