GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Łomża are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLLDL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.75/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
ŁomżaLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Warta SieradzŁomża
42.2Attack66.7
52.9Defence0.0
43.1Form0.0
47.4Power23.7
1.63xG1.28
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