GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Olimpia ElblągWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
42.2Attack42.2
52.9Defence37.3
43.1Form34.3
47.4Power40.2
1.76xG1.08
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