Warta Sieradzvs
Olimpia Elbląg
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Warta Sieradz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.9%
Model confidence
12.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80