GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/8/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzMławianka Mława
42.2Attack39.2
52.9Defence50.0
43.1Form38.2
47.4Power43.7
1.39xG1.01
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