GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/15/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Legia Warszawa II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWWLDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IIWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzLegia Warszawa II
42.2Attack68.6
52.9Defence60.8
43.1Form63.7
47.4Power63.8
1.03xG1.89
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