GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.4 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

13.3%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Jagiellonia IIDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Warta SieradzJagiellonia II
42.2Attack48.0
52.9Defence46.1
43.1Form44.1
47.4Power46.8
1.48xG1.25
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