GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.4 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IILDDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Warta SieradzJagiellonia II
42.2Attack48.0
52.9Defence46.1
43.1Form44.1
47.4Power46.8
1.49xG1.26
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