GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/11/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

68.0%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Concordia ElblągWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzConcordia Elbląg
42.2Attack36.3
52.9Defence3.9
43.1Form29.4
47.4Power24.3
2.47xG0.90
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