Warta Sieradzvs
Bełchatów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/27/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Warta Sieradz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60