Warta Sieradzvs
Bełchatów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/10/2025, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Warta Sieradz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40