GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Warta Sieradz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta SieradzLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BełchatówDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzBełchatów
42.2Attack56.9
52.9Defence52.0
43.1Form54.9
47.4Power54.7
1.29xG1.52
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