GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Poznań · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Warta Poznań are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Miedz Legnica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Poznań hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the I Liga, while Warta Poznań holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Poznań

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

13.2%

Warta Poznań has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta PoznańLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Miedz LegnicaLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Warta PoznańMiedz Legnica
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence77.8
50.0Form44.4
59.3Power53.1
1.52xG1.25
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