Warta Poznańvs
ŁKS Łódź
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warta Poznań · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warta Poznań 0-1 ŁKS Łódź
Original prediction
Warta Poznań
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.3% | 36.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 29.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.8% | 33.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Warta Poznań
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Warta Poznań has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20