Warta Gorzówvs
Zagłębie Lubin II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warta Gorzów 0-2 Zagłębie Lubin II
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 35.9% | 31.0% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.2% | 44.4% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40