Warta Gorzówvs
Ślęza Wrocław
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warta Gorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warta Gorzów 1-1 Ślęza Wrocław
Original prediction
Warta Gorzów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.0% | 46.5% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 24.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.6% | 29.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Warta Gorzów
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Warta Gorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80